Caledonia Mining Stock Performance

CMCL Stock  USD 30.39  0.79  2.67%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Caledonia Mining holds a performance score of 3. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.85, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Caledonia Mining will likely underperform. Please check Caledonia Mining's total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Caledonia Mining's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Caledonia Mining are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental indicators, Caledonia Mining disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.94)
Five Day Return
8.46
Year To Date Return
12.42
Ten Year Return
839.68
All Time Return
40.54
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0187
Payout Ratio
0.2624
Last Split Factor
1:5
Forward Dividend Rate
0.56
Dividend Date
2025-12-05
1
Caledonia Mining Advances Bilboes Gold Project with Feasibility Study Completion - The Globe and Mail
11/26/2025
 
Caledonia Mining dividend paid on 5th of December 2025
12/05/2025
2
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc DirectorPDMR Shareholding Notification
12/23/2025
3
Jefferies Is Betting Big on Mining Stocks for 2026. Here Is Barcharts Top-Rated Name.
12/31/2025
4
Zimbabwes 2026 budget limits 10 percent gold royalty to prices above 5,000 - Stock Titan
01/05/2026
5
Caledonia Mining Corporation Updates Regarding Royalty Rates Following Zimbabwes Finance Act, 2025
01/08/2026
6
Caledonia Mining Trading 10.7 percent Higher - Should You Buy - MarketBeat
01/12/2026
7
Is Caledonia Minings New Debt-Funded, Slimmer Leadership Model Repricing Its Operational Risk - simplywall.st
01/15/2026
8
Caledonia Mining Reports Increase in BlackRock Holding Above 5.8 percent Threshold - TipRanks
01/20/2026
9
Notification of relevant change to significant shareholder - Yahoo Finance
01/26/2026
10
Caledonia Mining Share Price Passes Below 200-Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
02/03/2026
11
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc - Issue of Securities Pursuant to Long Term Incentive Plan Awards - Yahoo Finance
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-32.1 M

Caledonia Mining Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,862  in Caledonia Mining on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  177.00  from holding Caledonia Mining or generate 6.18% return on investment over 90 days. Caledonia Mining is currently generating 0.2322% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.1342% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 46% of stocks are less volatile than Caledonia, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Caledonia Mining is expected to generate 6.6 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.6 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Caledonia Mining Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Caledonia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.39 90 days 30.39 
about 12.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caledonia Mining to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.73 (This Caledonia Mining probability density function shows the probability of Caledonia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.85 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Caledonia Mining will likely underperform. Additionally Caledonia Mining has an alpha of 0.1358, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Caledonia Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Caledonia Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caledonia Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caledonia Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.6130.7835.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2535.4840.65
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.0946.2551.34
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.341.341.34
Details

Caledonia Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caledonia Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caledonia Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caledonia Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caledonia Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.85
σ
Overall volatility
2.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Caledonia Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caledonia Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caledonia Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Caledonia Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc - Issue of Securities Pursuant to Long Term Incentive Plan Awards - Yahoo Finance

Caledonia Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caledonia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caledonia Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caledonia Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 M

Caledonia Mining Fundamentals Growth

Caledonia Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Caledonia Mining, and Caledonia Mining fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Caledonia Stock performance.

About Caledonia Mining Performance

By examining Caledonia Mining's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Caledonia Mining's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Caledonia Mining is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 73.64  56.07 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.08 

Things to note about Caledonia Mining performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Caledonia Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Caledonia Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Caledonia Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc - Issue of Securities Pursuant to Long Term Incentive Plan Awards - Yahoo Finance
Evaluating Caledonia Mining's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Caledonia Mining's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Caledonia Mining's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Caledonia Mining's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Caledonia Mining's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Caledonia Mining's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Caledonia Mining's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Caledonia Mining's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Caledonia Mining's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Caledonia Mining's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Caledonia Mining's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Caledonia Mining is a strong investment it is important to analyze Caledonia Mining's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Caledonia Mining's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Caledonia Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caledonia Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.
For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caledonia Mining. Projected growth potential of Caledonia fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Caledonia Mining assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.417
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
2.56
Revenue Per Share
11.793
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.529
Understanding Caledonia Mining requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Caledonia's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Caledonia Mining's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Caledonia Mining's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Caledonia Mining's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Caledonia Mining should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Caledonia Mining's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.